December 2010 Archives

Why To Never Do Anything 100%

I've been doing some work with pareto equilibriums and I've come to a realization about poker strategies. If our opponent is highly exploitable, say, in a way that would cause us to CORRECTLY perform an action 100% of the time, we will be MORE profitable if we only perform that action 80% of the time.

The 20% of the time when the action is likely close break-even (due to our hand strength, our opponents tendencies, the board, etc) will not produce good enough results to compensate for our need to keep our strategy deceptive.

I am officially withdrawing all of my "I'd XYZ him 100%" strategies and making them "I'd XYZ him 80%." 

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Science of Bad Financial Decisions



I really liked this NOVA documentary, and I hope you do too.

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Sweat Me While I Play

I just wanted to inform everyone that I've started doing regular sweat sessions with some light coaching for anyone interested in improving their heads-up game.

I'm going to post them about an hour before they begin on the Risk Oriented Facebook Page, so go ahead and make yourself a fan over there if you haven't yet.

Anyone else who wants to get sweats is more than welcome to post their own sweat session info on the Facebook page too.

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